{"id":5027,"date":"2023-11-01T20:35:57","date_gmt":"2023-11-01T20:35:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ornoirafrica.com\/?p=5027"},"modified":"2023-11-01T20:35:57","modified_gmt":"2023-11-01T20:35:57","slug":"the-world-bank-warns-that-oil-prices-could-reach-150-per-barrel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ornoir.africa\/en\/the-world-bank-warns-that-oil-prices-could-reach-150-per-barrel\/","title":{"rendered":"The World Bank warns that oil prices could reach $150 a barrel"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Les prix du p\u00e9trole pourraient atteindre plus de 150 dollars le baril si le conflit au Moyen-Orient s’intensifie, selon la Banque mondiale.<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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A prolonged war in the region could lead to a sharp rise in energy and food prices, just one year after the price surge caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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For the time being, oil prices remain stable at around 90 dollars a barrel, and are set to fall. <\/span>However, the Bank warns that this outlook could quickly be reversed.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Selon son sc\u00e9nario le plus pessimiste, la Banque mondiale estime qu’une situation comparable \u00e0 la crise p\u00e9troli\u00e8re des ann\u00e9es 1970 pourrait se d\u00e9velopper, ce qui pourrait faire grimper les prix du p\u00e9trole entre 140 et 157 dollars le baril.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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In October 1973, Arab oil-producing countries reduced their exports to the United States and other countries that had supported Israel in the Yom Kippur War. This drove up prices.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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\u00ab\u00a0Le dernier conflit au Moyen-Orient fait suite au plus grand choc sur les march\u00e9s des mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res depuis les ann\u00e9es 1970 : la guerre entre la Russie et l’Ukraine\u00a0\u00bb, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Indermit Gill, \u00e9conomiste en chef \u00e0 la Banque mondiale.\u00a0\u00ab\u00a0Cela a eu des effets perturbateurs sur l’\u00e9conomie mondiale qui persistent encore aujourd’hui.\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Il a ajout\u00e9 que les d\u00e9cideurs politiques devraient \u00eatre vigilants, car le sc\u00e9nario d’un \u00ab double choc \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique \u00bb, affectant \u00e0 la fois les approvisionnements en p\u00e9trole et en gaz, ne s’\u00e9tait pas produit depuis des d\u00e9cennies.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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European gas prices have surged this month as investors fear that pipeline disruptions near the Gaza Strip could affect global supplies.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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However, until now, oil markets have largely ignored the impact of the conflict. <\/span>Benchmark Brent crude oil prices fell by more than 1% to around $89 a barrel on Monday.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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If the crisis in the Middle East does not worsen, current forecasts predict that wholesale prices will fall to $81 a barrel.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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La Banque mondiale a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que l’\u00e9conomie mondiale \u00e9tait dans une meilleure position pour r\u00e9sister \u00e0 un choc d’offre qu’elle ne l’avait \u00e9t\u00e9 lors des conflits pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents au Moyen-Orient.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Mais la Banque s’est montr\u00e9e prudente, affirmant que l’\u00e9conomie mondiale \u00e9tait encore en train de se remettre de la flamb\u00e9e des prix de l’\u00e9nergie observ\u00e9e l’ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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La hausse des prix de l’\u00e9nergie peut entra\u00eener une forte inflation, comme cela s’est produit apr\u00e8s l’invasion de l’Ukraine par la Russie, avec des r\u00e9percussions sur d’autres mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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\u00ab\u00a0La hausse des prix du p\u00e9trole, si elle se maintient, entra\u00eenera in\u00e9vitablement une hausse des prix des denr\u00e9es alimentaires\u00a0\u00bb, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Ayhan Kose, \u00e9conomiste en chef adjoint \u00e0 la Banque mondiale.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Il a ajout\u00e9 : \u00ab Si un grave choc p\u00e9trolier se mat\u00e9rialisait, cela ferait augmenter l’inflation des prix alimentaires qui a d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9lev\u00e9e dans de nombreux pays en d\u00e9veloppement. \u00c0 la fin de 2022, plus de 700 millions de personnes – pr\u00e8s d’un dixi\u00e8me de la population mondiale – \u00e9taient sous-aliment\u00e9s. \u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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The Bank fears that an escalation of this latest conflict could intensify food insecurity, not only in the region but throughout the world.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Un meilleur sc\u00e9nario pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 par la Banque pr\u00e9voit une perturbation mineure dans laquelle l’offre mondiale de p\u00e9trole serait r\u00e9duite de 500 000 \u00e0 deux millions de barils par jour.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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In this situation, the price of oil would rise to between 93 and 102 dollars a barrel, according to the Bank.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les prix du p\u00e9trole pourraient atteindre plus de 150 dollars le baril si le conflit au Moyen-Orient s’intensifie, selon la Banque mondiale. Une guerre prolong\u00e9e dans la r\u00e9gion…<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5028,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","page_builder":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5,676],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualite","category-petrole"],"yoast_head":"\nLa Banque mondiale pr\u00e9vient que les prix du p\u00e9trole pourraient atteindre 150 $ le baril - Or Noir Africa<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Les prix du p\u00e9trole pourraient atteindre plus de 150 dollars le baril si le conflit au Moyen-Orient s'intensifie, selon la Banque mondiale.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ornoir.africa\/en\/the-world-bank-warns-that-oil-prices-could-reach-150-per-barrel\/amp\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La Banque mondiale pr\u00e9vient que les prix du p\u00e9trole pourraient atteindre 150 $ le baril - 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